Gabriele Beltrone
A Time-Varying Network Instance-Based Learning Model of Cyber Threats.
Rel. Luca Dall'Asta, Nicolò Gozzi. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Physics Of Complex Systems (Fisica Dei Sistemi Complessi), 2026
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Abstract
Computer viruses spread through online social networks taking advantage of the susceptibility arising from individuals' cognitive mechanisms. Many models that simulate the spread of cyber threats are based on time-aggregated networks and memoryless users, which limit the reliability of results and forecasts. This thesis aims to integrate the temporal dynamics of social networks with the decision-making processes of individuals by implementing a cognitive model that describes users' susceptibility to phishing and its impact on the spread of cyber threats. The dynamics of the networks are modeled using an activity-driven network; each node has its own activity, which measures its propensity to create connections.
The heterogeneous distribution of activities among the nodes shapes the evolution of the network
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