Beatrice Bono
Patent term and technological relevance: an empirical analysis of the determinants of patent lapse.
Rel. Antonio De Marco, Luigi Buzzacchi. Politecnico di Torino, Master of science program in Engineering And Management, 2026
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Abstract
Patent protection is legally capped at twenty years from filing, yet the effective duration varies widely because patent rights may cease for multiple reasons over their life cycle. A substantial share of patents terminates early due to procedural and legal terminal events, while a non-negligible fraction survives up to the statutory term. Against this background, the first objective of this thesis is to identify the end of patent protection in administrative data by constructing a patent-level “expiration” date, which is not directly recorded as a single variable in the EPO Register. The second objective is to address the core research question of whether, and to what extent, technological relevance explains heterogeneity in patent term and predicts patent lapse.
The analysis focuses on European patent applications and combines procedural and legal status information from the EPO Register with post-grant legal event notifications from PATSTAT (through the INPADOC system), which improves coverage of outcomes occurring after a European patent becomes a bundle of national rights
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