Mustafa Attaie
Hydrologic and climatic assessment of the Amu-Darya basin using remote sensing data.
Rel. Alessandro Casasso, Lorenzo Gallia. Politecnico di Torino, Master of science program in Environmental And Land Engineering, 2026
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Abstract
Hydrological While Amu-Darya Basin is vital to central Asia’s water security, and it is one of the main arteries feeding Aral Lake, our understanding of its hydro-climatic situation is often hindered by a lack of consistent ground observations. This study develops an integrated analysis to evaluate basin scale precipitation variability, vegetation dynamics NDVI, and surface water dynamics MNDWI for the period 2000-2023 by combining streamflow behaviour for available data records from sub basin gauge stations in Afghanistan. ERA5 precipitation was first evaluated against in-situ precipitation data, demonstrating strong monthly scale correlation and acceptable magnitude agreement which supports its use for basin scale analysis.
Precipitation seasonal climatology reveals a pronounced winter-spring maximum consistent with the basin’s snow dominated regime, while long term trend analysis indicates no significant monotonic change in annual precipitation over the study period
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