Bruno Toro
Satellite-derived NDVI and climate projections for sustainable pasture biomass management: a case study in the Madrid region, Spain.
Rel. Elena Belcore, Carlos Gregorio Hernandez Diaz-Ambrona. Politecnico di Torino, Master of science program in Agritech Engineering, 2025
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Abstract
Grasslands are among the world's most vital ice-free ecosystems, providing critical services such as carbon sequestration, biodiversity support, and pollination. However, these systems face increasing pressure from climate change, characterized by rising temperatures and altered precipitation patterns. Predictive models that integrate historical data with future climate scenarios are essential for anticipating shifts in biomass dynamics and developing adaptive management strategies to preserve the ecological and economic functions of grasslands. This thesis, developed in collaboration with the CEIGRAM Research Center in Madrid (central Spain), evaluates the efficacy of satellite-derived vegetation indices, specifically the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), as reliable proxy for pasture biomass production under climate change.
It addresses a key limitation in current agricultural insurance models, which often rely on long-term NDVI averages that may not accurately capture real-time forage availability in a changing climate
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