Gianluca Cardinale
Novel data-driven statistical approach to predict photovoltaic plants production based on weather forecasts.
Rel. Bartolomeo Montrucchio, Antonio Costantino Marceddu, Jacopo Sini, Alessandro Ciocia. Politecnico di Torino, Master of science program in Mechatronic Engineering, 2024
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Abstract
This master’s thesis aims to explore predictive methods for solar power production through a statistical modeling approach, employing novel data-driven algorithms based on historical data from the main photovoltaic plant at the Politecnico di Torino. Chapter 1 provides an overview of renewable energy sources, emphasizing their integration into the energy sector and broader economic and political contexts. The focus then shifts to solar photovoltaic technologies, with a brief review of system components and the basic operating principles of a panel. This leads to a survey of forecasting approaches, from physical and statistical models to those based on artificial intelligence. Chapter 2 focuses on artificial neural networks, beginning with the perceptron model, neuron equation, and activation functions.
It then covers forward and backward propagation, introducing the matrix-form equation that links inputs and outputs in a feedforward neural network (FNN)
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