Alessio Faraci
Bayesian inference of structural model parameters in an uncertainty quantification framework.
Rel. Rosario Ceravolo, Gaetano Miraglia, Giuseppe Abbiati. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Ingegneria Civile, 2019
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Abstract
In structural engineering, modeling fulfills a key role to simulate the behavior of structures, but even very detailed models may fail to represent critical mechanisms. The uniqueness and uncertainties associated with civil structures make the prediction of the actual mechanical characteristics and the structural performance, a difficult task. Reliable estimates require calibration of system parameters based on measured experimental response data. To date, several different approaches have been adopted in literature. Generally, these ones try to minimize the difference between the model output and the experimental data. However, inverse problems (such as the estimate of mechanical parameters) when treated deterministically, are typically ill-conditioned and often ill-posed, since the values of parameters used to predict the structural behavior are uncertain owing to simplifying and approximate assumptions on model.
As consequence, these modeling uncertainties suggest that a single optimal parameter vector is not sufficient to specify the structural model, but rather a family of all plausible values of the model parameters consistent with observations needs to be identified
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