Samuele Milani
Modelling Mode Choice Behaviour by Trip Purpose in the Context of the 15-Minute City: an Application to a Suburban Area in Lisbon (Portugal).
Rel. Marco Diana, João De Abreu E Silva. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Civil Engineering, 2026
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Abstract
The 15-minute city has recently gained attention as a planning approach by promoting active mobility through proximity to essential amenities. Existing literature has predominantly focused on dense urban cores and commuting patterns, frequently neglecting peripheral contexts and non-mandatory travel. This thesis addresses these subjects by investigating the determinants of mode choice in “Vila Franca de Xira”, a suburban municipality in the Lisbon Metropolitan Area. Based on an in-person intercept survey of more than a thousand respondents conducted in May 2025, the research adopts an advanced discrete choice modelling approach to analyse travel behaviour. The study compares a traditional Multinomial Logit (MNL) model with a more complex Hybrid Choice Model (or ICLV - Integrated Choice and Latent Variable Model).
The latter explicitly integrates two latent variables identified as “Attitude towards the 15-minute City” and “Comfort of Private Transport” to capture the unobserved psychological constructs influencing user decisions
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