Carolina Ribeiro Ferreira
Optimization of Pit Stop Strategies in Formula 1.
Rel. Rosario Scatamacchia, Daniel Rebelo Dos Santos. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Ingegneria Gestionale (Engineering And Management), 2026
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Abstract
Formula 1 race strategy optimization is a highly sophisticated field that requires balancing tire performance, complex degradation profiles, and operational constraints under high-stakes uncertainty. This thesis develops a two-stage stochastic programming approach to determine optimal tire compound selection and pit stop timing, with the objective of minimizing total race time. The research establishes a structured optimization framework that accounts for both deterministic circuit parameters and stochastic variables representing real-world race conditions. A comprehensive sensitivity analysis was conducted to calibrate the model’s coefficients, ensuring that its strategic output reflects the tactical realities observed in recent Formula 1 seasons. The current study utilizes this model to analyze the strategic decision-making process across the 25-race calendar, identifying the interdependencies between lap duration, total race distance, and pit lane time loss.
To provide a comprehensive validation, this work includes a comparative analysis between the model’s generated strategies and empirical data, specifically benchmarking against Pirelli’s pre-race strategies and the actual strategies employed by race winners.
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