Maryam Bigonah
Quantifying the Value of Residential Flexibility and Technology Upgrades: A Scenario-Ladder Framework with CAPEX and OPEX Optimization Analysis.
Rel. Tao Huang, Seyedmahmood Hosseiniimani. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Ict For Smart Societies (Ict Per La Società Del Futuro), 2026
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Abstract
This thesis develops a decision-oriented, service-preserving techno-economic optimization framework for a multi-unit residential building in Italy. The building is modeled as 20 dwellings represented by four household archetypes to capture diversity in service-demand patterns, while the scope is limited to behind-the-meter self-consumption. An hourly input dataset for the full year 2025 is constructed, including an Italian time-of-use electricity price signal (F1/F2/F3), a gas price representation suitable for annual cost accounting, and an hourly PV generation series. Because PVGIS time series do not provide PV output for 2025, a weather-driven PV estimation layer is implemented: a supervised learning model learns the relationship between open meteorological/radiation features and PVGIS-consistent PV output on historical years, then generates the hourly PV profile for 2025 with consistent timezone and daylight-saving-time alignment.
On top of these inputs, the operational core is formulated as a mixed-integer linear program (MILP) that minimizes annual energy procurement cost while enforcing unchanged delivered services
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