Chloe Celia Charlotte Vermylen
Resilience assessment of the All-Island electrical transmission system under high and low renewable scenarios.
Rel. Giovanni Bracco. Politecnico di Torino, Master of science program in Energy And Nuclear Engineering, 2025
Abstract
This thesis evaluates the operational resilience of the All-Island transmission grid (Ireland and Northern Ireland) under future scenarios of high and low renewable energy penetration. Using DIgSILENT PowerFactory, a validated static power flow model for 2035 was developed based on the 2024 grid, incorporating realistic projections for renewable deployment, interconnector expansion, and demand growth in line with national and European targets. Simulations were conducted for a range of seasonal demand scenarios, distinguishing between high and low wind capacity factors. The results show that high renewable scenarios induce significant grid stress, particularly under low load and high export conditions, with congestion concentrated along major eastward corridors.
Summer Valley – High Wind scenarios were identified as the most challenging in both 2024 and 2035, highlighting the limitations of the current transmission infrastructure
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