Emilia Toro
Predictive Modelling and Optimization of Multi-Energy Systems: A Machine Learning Approach.
Rel. Gianfranco Chicco. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Ingegneria Energetica E Nucleare, 2024
Abstract
The objective of this thesis is to evaluate the significance and impact of applying machine learning models in the energy sector through a real-case example. A multi-energy plant located in Northern Italy, with production of electricity and heat through cogenerators, boilers and photovoltaic generation, connected to the energy networks and to a district heating system, has been analysed. Several regression models have been developed to predict specific system parameters, such as methane gas consumption and thermal energy production. Additionally, attention has been given to the development of the cost function related to the system's operational framework, leading to the understanding that certain strategies are required to improve the system performance.
Furthermore, given that the plant includes a photovoltaic system, an analysis of its energy production forecast has been conducted by creating a regression model using a neural network
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