Rustam Bozorov
Study of effectiveness of policies mitigating health and economic effects of COVID-19 pandemic.
Rel. Anna D'Ambrosio, Jose María Sallan Leyes. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Ingegneria Gestionale (Engineering And Management), 2021
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Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic is having a large social and economic impact worldwide. At the present stage, in this project, I will use publicly available data to assess strategies undertaken by governments to mitigate impacts while preserving the health of the population. This paper consists of two parts connected with a current state of data taken from open public sources. In the first part, I implement D models to the real data to forecast a future state of death numbers in Spain. In the second part, I use Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker with the real data to evaluate the effects of different policies on death numbers and daily new cases.
I will show that the most effective policies to mitigate the effects of COVID-19 will be restrictions on gathering policy, facial mask protection policy and stay at home policy
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