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Uncertainty modeling in deep learning. Variational inference for Bayesian neural networks.
Rel. Elisa Ficarra. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Ingegneria Informatica (Computer Engineering), 2019
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Abstract
Over the last decades, deep learning models have rapidly gained popularity for their ability to achieve state-of-the-art performances in different inference settings. Deep neural networks have been applied to an increasing number of problems spanning different domains of application. Novel applications define a new set of requirements that transcend accurate predictions and depend on uncertainty measures. The aims of this study are to implement Bayesian neural networks and use the corresponding uncertainty estimates to perform predictions and dataset analysis. After an introduction to the concepts behind the Bayesian framework we study variational inference and investigate its advantages and limitations in approximating the posterior distribution of the weights of neural networks.
In particular, we underline the importance of the choice of a good prior, we analyze performance and uncertainty of models using normal priors and scale mixture priors, and we discuss the need to scale the complexity term of the variational objective during the training of the model
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