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Compounding Hazards in the San Francisco Bay Area: Assessing Earthquake-Induced Gas Pipeline Damage and Fire Risk

Julia Demarchi Maciel

Compounding Hazards in the San Francisco Bay Area: Assessing Earthquake-Induced Gas Pipeline Damage and Fire Risk.

Rel. Gian Paolo Cimellaro, Alessandro Cardoni, Kenichi Soga. Politecnico di Torino, Corso di laurea magistrale in Architettura Costruzione Città, 2025

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Abstract:

California’s natural gas infrastructure is essential to the state’s energy system yet it still remains highly vulnerable to the combined effects of seismic events and fire activity. Traditional assessment approaches often overlook these interactions, limiting themselves to resilience planning. To bridge this gap, this thesis develops a quantitative, performance-based framework that integrates seismic hazard characterization, infrastructure vulnerability, and fire behavior into a unified multi-hazard analysis. Applied to the San Francisco Bay Area through QGIS and the OpenSRA platform, the framework highlights where vulnerabilities concentrate and how cascading impacts may develop across interconnected systems. The findings show that compound risks are shaped by the convergence of physical conditions, infrastructure characteristics, and surrounding urban environments. By establishing a more rigorous and transparent method for evaluating these dynamics, the research provides utilities and public agencies with a practical tool capable of informing targeted mitigation, investment prioritization, and integrated resilience strategies. The framework is broadly transferable and offers a path toward more robust multi-hazard assessment practices across California and the United States.

Relatori: Gian Paolo Cimellaro, Alessandro Cardoni, Kenichi Soga
Anno accademico: 2025/26
Tipo di pubblicazione: Elettronica
Numero di pagine: 69
Soggetti:
Corso di laurea: Corso di laurea magistrale in Architettura Costruzione Città
Classe di laurea: Nuovo ordinamento > Laurea magistrale > LM-04 - ARCHITETTURA E INGEGNERIA EDILE-ARCHITETTURA
Ente in cotutela: University of California, Berkeley (STATI UNITI D'AMERICA)
Aziende collaboratrici: University of California Berkeley
URI: http://webthesis.biblio.polito.it/id/eprint/38857
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